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New numbers from a New York Times/Siena College ballot supply a grim portrait of the 2024 presidential election in 5 main swing states: Voters hate each candidates. But the larger information is that regardless of having been impeached twice and indicted 4 occasions on legal expenses, former President Donald Trump is main President Joe Biden in 5 of crucial electoral swing states.
Voters suppose Biden, who at 80 is barely three years older than Trump, is just too outdated. He’s misplaced floor with all the standard Democratic voting blocs: ladies, younger folks, and folks of shade. Perhaps most surprising is his poor exhibiting amongst Black voters, who have been speculated to be his largest allies.
It’s going to be an extended yr.
Black voters — lengthy a bulwark for Democrats and for Mr. Biden — are actually registering 22 % help in these states for Mr. Trump, a stage unseen in presidential politics for a Republican in trendy occasions.
Add all of it collectively, and Mr. Trump leads by 10 factors in Nevada, six in Georgia, 5 in Arizona, 5 in Michigan and 4 in Pennsylvania. Mr. Biden held a 2-point edge in Wisconsin.
In a outstanding signal of a gradual racial realignment between the 2 events, the extra various the swing state, the farther Mr. Biden was behind, and he led solely in the whitest of the six…
If the outcomes in the ballot have been the identical subsequent November, Mr. Trump could be poised to win greater than 300 Electoral College votes, far above the 270 wanted to take the White House.